Predicting You Will Eat Less to Lose Weight, and You Don’t
Posted Mar 27 2013 5:00am
Despite your prediction of how much you are going to spend
each week, do you find that you are spending more than you predicted? Do you do
the same with food: predict you will eat less, but then you eat more?
There seems to be an inherent optimistic bias in this kind
of self-prediction. What is missing is the corrective; that is, being able to
draw on the result of past experience.
Standing in the way of taking these past experiences into
consideration is how up-close you are to your prediction. The predictions you
make about the upcoming week will probably be based on how you will implement
and pursue your goal this week. If you were to predict whether or not you will
eat less one-month from now, your purview will in all likelihood be broader.
Odds are that you will base your judgment on a more complete array of your past
So don’t be disappointed in yourself if you predict each
week and each week you can’t live up to your prediction. Take the longer view
and make your predictions more accurate.