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Last night’s World Series ...

Posted Nov 18 2008 12:02am

Last night’s World Series game ended with a game-winning home run in the 13th inning. An extra-inning play off game that put the Astros in the Series was won by a home run. I once played a 20 inning game in minor league baseball that ended with a home run by our catcher.

I think a lot of extra inning games are won with a home run. By a lot, I mean a dominant percentage of over inning games are won by a home run. It makes sense that this should be true. A home run is, after all, a hit that produces a run for sure. Most other hits do not have that quality. Hence, a decisive hit is most likely to be a home run in late innings.

As the innings wind out, a single run becomes the deciding factor. It may take several hits to produce a run, but one home run does it for sure. I do not have the data to test this proposition, but I have only a small doubt that it is true. Late inning home runs decide more extra-inning games than 9 inning games.

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