Overall, 30 percent of employers will definitely
or probably stop offering ESI in the years after 2014.
Human Resources officers and CFOs do not know the implications of Obama care.
Among employers having a high understanding of
President Obama’s Healthcare Reform Act more than 50% will stop offering
employee healthcare benefit and more than 60% will make some kind of change.
At least 30 percent of employers feel they would
gain economically from dropping coverage and paying the penalty. They would
even gain if they increase their employees’ salary or other benefits.
insurance coverage is in excess of $15,000 per year per employee. The
government penalty is $2,000 per employee.
difference in cost will force employers to drop ESI and force employees into
the Public Option. This was President Obama’s plan all along.
The survey also showed that more than 85 percent
of employees would remain at their jobs even if their employer stopped offering
Sixty (60) percent of employees would expect an
increase in compensation from their employers.
are these rules in favor of? They are not in favor of the employee.”
“Health care reform fundamentally alters the
social contract inherent in employer-sponsored medical benefits and how
employees value health insurance as a form of compensation.”
“Obamacare” guarantees the right to health
insurance regardless of an individual’s medical status or ability to pay. In
doing so, it minimizes the moral obligation employers may feel to cover the
sickest employees, who would otherwise be denied coverage in today’s individual
health insurance market.
The logical result is healthcare insurance
premiums would increase for the individual and benefits would decrease to keep
the premium cost down.
In 2014, people who are not offered affordable
health insurance coverage by their employers will receive income-indexed
premium and out-of-pocket cost-sharing subsidies from the government through public
health insurance exchanges.
The highest subsidies will be offered to the
lowest-income workers. It enables these low paid workers to obtain coverage
they could not afford in today’s individual healthcare insurance market.
It will force people into the dysfunctional
individual insurance market under public supervision of public health insurance
The government will pay the subsidies for the resulting
increased premiums that will result from expanded coverage in this “Public
Option.” The government would then pass the increased premium cost on to the
taxpayer on a means tested basis and with higher taxes.
The next step is government’s complete control of
a single party healthcare system.
Employers will no longer be able to offer better
healthcare insurance benefits to their highly compensated executives either.
Companies will be forced to discontinue employee healthcare coverage. We see
that happening in the Fall of 2013.
This will lead to government control of the
healthcare system and all the inefficiencies that will result. These
inefficiencies will increase the cost of care and result in a decrease in
access to care as well as rationing of care.
State insurance exchanges will be paid for
by the states with a federal subsidy. These exchanges will offer individual and
family policies of set benefit levels (bronze, silver, gold, and platinum) from
a variety of insurance companies.
The effect on the federal deficit will be much
greater than the original CBO’s estimated. The number of people who will loss
their company insurance was estimated by the CBO at 10 million, or about 7
percent of employees, currently covered by ESI.
Seventy (70) million people was McKinsey’s estimate in 2011.
President Obama wins his ideological goal.
Consumers will have less control over their own healthcare decisions and
The healthcare insurance industry will gain more
control over pricing. This will increase profits because they will administer
government health insurance exchange services. President Obama will continue to
outsource the administrative services to the healthcare insurance industry.
The losers will be consumers and
The impending results are all totally
predictable. Obamacare fans refuse to listen.
The opinions expressed in the blog “Repairing The Healthcare System” are, mine and mine alone